400 climate simulations. Component-level engineering. One financial answer.
We don't simplify climate science into traffic lights. We run the full model ensemble and translate it into the numbers your investment committee needs.
Where the data comes from
CMIP6 Model Ensemble
400+ global climate simulations. Not cherry-picked 3-4 scenarios - the full ensemble with P10 to P90 uncertainty ranges. Because the spread between optimistic and pessimistic projections is where the financial risk sits.
CORDEX-CORE + ML Downscaling
Regional climate projections at 11-30km resolution, further refined through machine learning to match each asset's specific elevation, terrain, and microclimate. Global models tell you the trend. Our ML-enhanced downscaling tells you what happens at your exact asset location.
ERA5 Reanalysis
Historical climate baseline from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. 40+ years of hourly atmospheric data to calibrate forward projections.
Fathom Global Flood Model v1.3
30-metre resolution flood modelling. River floods, flash floods, surface water. The same data used by insurers and governments for flood risk assessment.
How we turn climate data into financial outcomes
Climate Signals
10+ physical hazards modelled at asset location across SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. 400+ CMIP6 simulations with P10-P90 uncertainty ranges. Coverage from 1950 to 2100.
Operational Impact
Component-level vulnerability modelling. Solar panels derate from 40C, cliff at 55C (-60%). Wind turbines shut down above 40C, below -20C, or at gusts above 52.5 m/s. CapEx damage (Average Annual Loss) and OpEx impact (yield loss, revenue reduction, downtime) quantified per asset.
Adaptation & Pricing
Concrete adaptation CapEx options with payback periods. Insurance overlay modelling. Net residual position after mitigation. Most tools stop at gross exposure - we model what you actually carry.
Financial Decision
Pre- and post-adaptation IRR for investors. Yield-adjusted revenue projections for renewable operators. SAIDI reduction and avoided outage costs for grid companies. AI-generated narrative summaries explain the results in the language your investment committee expects. The output maps directly to how deals are priced, portfolios are managed, and adaptation budgets are justified.
Tested with real portfolios
Wind and PV locations assessed globally with a leading renewable energy operator. Validated gross-to-net framework showing up to -5% gross productivity loss by 2060 before adaptation.
Grid infrastructure portfolio assessed. 18 substations, 58,850 km overhead lines across 3 countries. CapEx exposure quantified under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 to 2050.
Full uncertainty quantification. Not just the median projection - the range between optimistic and pessimistic outcomes. Because "average climate change" doesn't describe what hits your asset.
Three futures. Your portfolio in each.
SSP1-2.6
Climate protection
Global warming limited to ~1.8C by 2100. Strong mitigation policies. Even here, physical impacts on infrastructure are significant.
SSP2-4.5
Middle of the road
~2.7C warming. Current policy trajectory. Most likely pathway for infrastructure with 20-30 year hold periods.
SSP5-8.5
High emissions
~4.4C warming. Worst-case stress test. Essential for understanding tail risk and designing resilient adaptation strategies.
Where our science comes from
Repath is a spin-off of the University of Hamburg, founded by climate scientists and engineers from one of Europe's leading climate research institutions. Our leadership team includes researchers from the Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), a Helmholtz institution, and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK).
This academic foundation means we don't simplify climate science for convenience. We run the full Euro-CORDEX dynamic model ensemble - over 400 climate simulations - combined with satellite observations, machine learning downscaling, and AI-generated analysis. The same scientific standard used by reinsurers and the IPCC, translated for infrastructure investment decisions.
See the science applied to your assets.
Send us your portfolio. We'll show you what the models say.